The Habesha Investor · weekly

Independent equity
research, published
weekly.

Deep-dive thesis writeups, sector frameworks, and live trade ideas — delivered to your inbox via The Habesha Investor on Substack. Every report is paired with a position in Tibeb, our AI-native trading terminal.

Methodology

How a thesis
gets written.

Each Substack report is the visible tip of a deeper research process — three stages, weeks of compounding before publication. Numbers come before narrative.

01 / FRAME

Frame the sector

Start at the sector level — secular drivers, capital cycle, where supply and demand are about to dislocate. The frame decides which names are worth a deep dive at all.

02 / BUILD

Build the model

From SEC filings, transcripts, channel checks, and unit-economics math — what does the next three to five years actually look like, and where is consensus wrong?

03 / SHIP

Open the position

The thesis only ships after a sized position is live in the paper book — entries, stops, catalyst calendar, exit triggers all written down. The trade IS the receipt.

Latest reports

Theses live now.

Public posts arrive Sundays. Paid posts add the live position book + sizing logic. Click through for the full writeup.

SEMISSectorLatest

The next leg of the AI compute build-out.

Where the bottleneck moves from GPUs to power, packaging, and HBM — and which names are positioned for the next 18 months.

DEEPSingle-nameRecent

A misread on inventory cyclicality.

Consensus is anchoring on the wrong cycle period. The unit economics inflect 2 quarters before the Street's model — here's the math.

MACROHedge frameRecent

Hedging tech-heavy books in a steepening curve.

Which structures pay for themselves in a soft-landing scenario and which only earn in the tail. A practical playbook with sizing.

Subscribe free for the full archive — three years of single-name research.

View archive
Tibeb

The trading terminal
behind the Substack.

Tibeb is the live, AI-native dashboard where every thesis is researched, sized, and executed. Voice-first, Markdown-brain, paper-only. Invite-only access.

tibeb · live status
broker alpaca paper · L3 options
agent claude opus 4.7
brain obsidian vault · markdown
research anthropic web_search
market data massive (polygon)
voice elevenlabs · scribe + flash
access invite-only
mode paper trading · hard locked

Live dashboard

Voice queries → multi-agent research team → vault writes → paper-trade execution → position book that mirrors the Substack.

  • Open positions auto-pair with the thesis note in the brain.
  • Mad Max research stress-tests every idea with real citations.
  • Push-to-talk + Brian voice replies for hands-free reasoning.
  • Single sign-in covers Substack reading + Tibeb terminal.
Contact

Read the reports.

Free public posts every Sunday. Paid tier unlocks the position book, sizing notes, and weekly market debriefs. For partnerships or feedback, the inbox below is open.

Subscribe on Substack Sign in to Tibeb
nateasefa@habeshamarketresearch.com